Plain-English framing. Yesterday's newsletter (and most of the trade press) implied the 10-day signing clock was already running. That's the standard pattern in most states, but New York's transmission rules are different. The Senate Majority Leader and Assembly Speaker control when a passed bill is physically delivered to the governor's desk — and they can hold the bill for political timing, sometimes for months. Hochul's 10-day decision window only begins on delivery. What this means for the actual decision calendar. The legislative session adjourned June 4. By NY constitutional convention, bills passed in the last 10 days of a session can be held by leadership until any time before the end of the calendar year. If the bill is delivered before legislative recess ends (the usual posture), Hochul gets the standard 10-day window. If it's delivered in late December (the 'session bill' window), she gets a 30-day window with no pocket-veto option — silence becomes signature. Either way, the substantive decision is not in the next two weeks; it is likely September or October at earliest, possibly as late as December. The practical implication. Every developer with a NY site over 20 MW now has 4–6 months of uncertainty rather than 10 days. That's actually a worse posture than a clean signature would be — it's harder to underwrite, harder to time financing around, and pushes more developers toward 'just exit the queue and refile in PJM-East or NEISO' than a binary sign/veto would.
Primary source · Daily Kos / NY Senate procedural manual / Inside Climate News ↗
Why it matters
Yesterday's newsletter said the most likely outcome was a pocket veto inside a 10-day window through June 24. That framing was wrong — the actual decision is months away, and the pocket-veto option is contingent on the leadership choosing to deliver before session-end. The Cliff regulatory-knowledge-graph entry for S10642 needs to be updated today: the 'decision date' field should be 'TBD, 4–6 months out' not 'June 24'; the 'pocket veto risk' field should be 'contingent on transmission timing, not default'; and the 'developer guidance' field should shift from 'wait 10 days' to 'underwrite 6 months of uncertainty'. This is also a calibration lesson for the news pipeline — most state legislative transmission rules differ from each other, and the trade press tends to default to the median-state framing. The wiki page for each state-level moratorium bill needs a 'transmission rule' subfield populated from that state's specific constitution / legislative manual, not inferred from the federal pocket-veto model.
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